• 11 Posts
  • 107 Comments
Joined 1 month ago
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Cake day: July 4th, 2025

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  • Obviously, if you’re doing the same gimmick it would be easy to pick you out

    I think this is the issue. Lemmy isn’t Reddit yet (although, give it time.) Most people who are copping bans at this stage are either (a) being insufferable in some fashion or other and refusing to stop (b) running afoul of lemmy.ml. I think in almost all cases of (a), what they are doing is returning exactly to form with the new account and then being all surprised that no one’s throwing roses and cheering them on this time around.



  • Rumor from the mods is that behavior is pretty recognizable. You have to be sort of identifiable in some way or other to attract mod attention, so in most cases it’s pretty obvious when one account is doing one type of behavior, gets banned for it, and then a new account emerges that’s doing the exact same behavior.

    Situations are different of course, but I think especially for the more justified bans it’s not as hard as it would seem like (even when IP address matching is not involved.)









  • I’m not super familiar with it, but just knowing the little bit that I know about it, this is my guess:

    • The person who paid for the order flow sees a limit order for max price $45 or whatever.
    • The user’s data is delayed by 15 minutes, so they see the current price as $46.
    • The person who paid for order flow looks at the current price (which the user can’t see, since their data is 15 minutes delayed).
    • If the current price is $43, they fill the order at $44 and the user feels like they came out ahead and is motivated to keep doing this
    • If the current price is $45, they fill the order at $45, whatever
    • If the current price is $47, they don’t fill the order

    … and so on. I would bet it’s decently more complicated than that, but bottom line, there’s a reason these guys are paying all this money for order flows. It’s not because they’re not making money on them, and usually the procedure is to extract the money from the most-poorly-informed person involved (which in this case is the end user by a big margin).



  • What could possibly be the point of preparing for a non-nuclear war that includes close up fighting against US aircraft carriers?

    It’s good to keep your military prepared for all kinds of shit that might potentially go down, I can understand doing drills and being familiar with the enemy’s kit. It seems fine. But the smart play in terms of Taiwan is that Trump will not do anything because he is Trump and he doesn’t care all that much about Taiwan anyway. The play where they decide to start World War 3 and then win it, because they drilled against the aircraft carriers, and thus they were able to secure this one particular smallish island as “officially part of China” instead of “only unofficially part of China, and only to a 30% extent”, seems… farfetched. That’s kind of what I’m saying about the difference between saber rattling for domestic consumption vs. what they actually plan to do.



  • If China really wanted to invade Taiwan, they’d have done a Ukraine to it a while ago. Nobody did shit about Crimea, and outside of the US, nobody would do shit about Taiwan. The US is pretty much the only wildcard in terms of how the world would react, and with Trump in charge, they have an actual opportunity, and they don’t seem to have any kind of inclination to act on it that I have seen.

    They want to inch their way out, a little at a time, gradually expanding the sphere of influence in ways that aren’t going to risk upsetting the absolute Niagara Falls of money that’s coming in from all their mutually beneficial trade with all the rest of the world. They also want to make big noises for domestic consumption about how they’re a big scary regional power and everyone better stay the fuck out of their way, and they’re probably going to take Taiwan next month if they decide so watch out… but really bombing Taiwan for real is not in the style of the current Chinese government. Why would they need that? Things are working. Why risk fucking it up?

    (Predicting the future is foolish of course but that is my prediction / understanding of it.)